Hoe houdbaar zijn de de financiën van de federale overheid en de gewesten en gemeenschappen in België?
Sustainability
Debt ratio
Public finances
Negative growth shocks
Public investments
Rising interest rates
Debt ceiling
The debt ratios of the federal government and the various regions and communities in Belgium have risen substantially in recent years and, in general, they are set to increase further. This raises the question of how sustainable public finances truly are. The article investigates this by way of a regional debt sustainability analysis covering medium-, short- and long-term risks. It also assesses to what extent debt levels and dynamics will be impacted by negative growth shocks, rising interest rates and higher public investment. Finally, it explores how a national debt ceiling could be distributed across the various government entities and what fiscal efforts would be required at each level.